Intsinzi ya Trump irashobora rwose kuzana impinduka zikomeye mubucuruzi bwisi yose no ku isoko ryohereza ibicuruzwa, kandi abafite imizigo ninganda zohereza ibicuruzwa nabyo bizagira ingaruka zikomeye.
Manda yabanjirije iyi yaranzwe na politiki y’ubucuruzi itinyutse kandi akenshi itavugwaho rumwe yahinduye imikorere y’ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga.
Dore isesengura rirambuye kuri izi ngaruka:
1. Impinduka muburyo bwubucuruzi bwisi yose
(1) Kurinda biragaruka
Kimwe mu byaranze manda ya mbere ya Trump ni uguhindura politiki yo gukumira. Ibiciro ku bicuruzwa bitandukanye, cyane cyane biva mu Bushinwa, bigamije kugabanya icyuho cy’ubucuruzi no kubyutsa inganda z’Amerika.
Niba Trump yongeye gutorwa, birashoboka ko azakomeza ubu buryo, birashoboka ko yongera imisoro mu bindi bihugu cyangwa mu nzego. Ibi bishobora gutuma ibiciro byiyongera kubaguzi no mubucuruzi, kuko ibiciro bikunda gutuma ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga bihenze.
Inganda zitwara abantu, zishingiye cyane cyane ku kugenda ku bicuruzwa ku buntu ku mipaka, zishobora guhura n’ihungabana rikomeye. Kongera ibiciro bishobora gutuma ubucuruzi bugabanuka mugihe ibigo bihindura urunigi rwo kugabanya ibiciro. Mugihe ubucuruzi bukemura ibibazo by ibidukikije birinda ibidukikije, inzira zo kohereza zirashobora guhinduka kandi ibyifuzo byo kohereza ibicuruzwa birashobora guhinduka.
(2) Kuvugurura sisitemu yubucuruzi bwisi yose
Ubuyobozi bwa Trump bwongeye gusuzuma gahunda y’ubucuruzi ku isi, bwibaza inshuro nyinshi gushyira mu gaciro uburyo bw’ubucuruzi bw’ibihugu byinshi, kandi buva mu mashyirahamwe mpuzamahanga. Niba yongeye gutorwa, iyi nzira irashobora gukomeza, bigatera ibintu byinshi bihungabanya ubukungu bw’isoko ry’isi.
(3) Ingorabahizi mu mibanire y’ubucuruzi n’Ubushinwa na Amerika
Trump yamye yubahiriza inyigisho ya "Amerika Yambere", kandi politike yUbushinwa mugihe c'ubutegetsi bwayo nayo yabigaragaje. Aramutse yongeye gutangira imirimo, umubano w’ubucuruzi w’Ubushinwa na Amerika urashobora kuba ingorabahizi kandi uhangayitse, ibyo bizagira ingaruka zikomeye ku bikorwa by’ubucuruzi hagati y’ibihugu byombi.
2. Ingaruka ku isoko ryo kohereza
(1) Imihindagurikire y'ibisabwa mu bwikorezi
Politiki y’ubucuruzi ya Trump irashobora kugira ingaruka ku byoherezwa mu BushinwaAmerika, bityo bikagira ingaruka kubisabwa mu bwikorezi ku nzira zinyura muri pasifika. Kubera iyo mpamvu, ibigo birashobora kongera guhindura imiyoboro yabyo, kandi ibicuruzwa bimwe bishobora kwimurirwa mubindi bihugu no mu turere, bigatuma ibiciro by’imizigo yo mu nyanja bihindagurika.
(2) Guhindura ubushobozi bwo gutwara abantu
Icyorezo cya COVID-19 cyagaragaje intege nke z’imiyoboro itangwa ku isi, bituma amasosiyete menshi yongera gutekereza ku kwishingikiriza ku batanga isoko imwe, cyane cyane mu Bushinwa. Kongera gutorwa kwa Trump bishobora kwihutisha iyi nzira, kubera ko amasosiyete ashobora gushaka kwimurira umusaruro mu bihugu bifite umubano mwiza w’ubucuruzi na Amerika. Ihinduka rishobora gutuma abantu bongera serivisi zo kohereza no kuvaVietnam, Ubuhinde,Mexicocyangwa ahandi hantu hakorerwa inganda.
Ariko, inzibacyuho kumurongo mushya wo gutanga ntabwo ntakibazo. Isosiyete irashobora guhura nigiciro cyinshi nimbogamizi mugihe zihuza ningamba nshya zo gushakisha. Inganda zitwara ibicuruzwa zishobora gukenera gushora imari mubikorwa remezo nubushobozi bwo guhuza nizo mpinduka, zishobora gusaba igihe nubutunzi. Uku guhindura ubushobozi bizongera isoko ridashidikanywaho, bigatuma ibiciro bitwara ibicuruzwa biva mubushinwa bijya muri Amerika bihindagurika cyane mugihe runaka.
(3) Gabanya ibiciro by'imizigo n'umwanya wo kohereza
Niba Trump itangaje ibiciro by’inyongera, ibigo byinshi bizongera ibicuruzwa mbere yo gushyira mu bikorwa politiki nshya y’ibiciro kugira ngo hirindwe imitwaro y’inyongera. Ibi birashobora gutuma ubwiyongere bukabije bwoherezwa muri Amerika mugihe gito, birashoboka ko byibanze mugice cya mbere cyumwaka utaha, bikagira ingaruka zikomeye kuriubwikorezi bwo mu nyanjanaubwikorezi bwo mu kirereubushobozi. Mugihe mubushobozi budahagije bwo kohereza, inganda zohereza ibicuruzwa zizahura nimbaraga zo kwihuta kumwanya. Umwanya uhenze cyane uzagaragara cyane, kandi ibiciro byimizigo nabyo bizamuka cyane.
3. Ingaruka za banyiri imizigo hamwe nabatwara ibicuruzwa
(1) Umuvuduko wibiciro kubafite imizigo
Politiki y’ubucuruzi ya Trump irashobora kuvamo ibiciro byinshi n’ibiciro by’imizigo kubafite imizigo. Ibi bizongera umuvuduko wibikorwa kubafite imizigo, kubahatira kongera gusuzuma no guhindura ingamba zabo.
(2) Kohereza ibicuruzwa ingaruka zo gukora
Mu rwego rwo kongera ubushobozi bwo kohereza no kuzamuka kw’ibicuruzwa bitwara ibicuruzwa, amasosiyete yohereza ibicuruzwa akeneye gusubiza ibyifuzo byihutirwa by’abakiriya ku mwanya wo kohereza, mu gihe kimwe kandi bikagira ingaruka ku giciro cy’ibiciro ndetse n’ingaruka zikorwa zatewe no kubura umwanya wo kohereza no kuzamuka kw'ibiciro. Byongeye kandi, uburyo bwo kuyobora bwa Trump bushobora kongera igenzura ry’umutekano, iyubahirizwa n’inkomoko y’ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga, ibyo bikazongera ingorane n’amafaranga yo gukora ku masosiyete yohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga kugira ngo yubahirize ibipimo by’Amerika.
Kongera gutorwa kwa Donald Trump bizagira ingaruka zikomeye ku bucuruzi ku isi no ku masoko yohereza ibicuruzwa. Nubwo ubucuruzi bumwe na bumwe bushobora kungukirwa no kwibanda ku nganda z’Amerika, ingaruka muri rusange zishobora gutuma ibiciro byiyongera, ukudashidikanya, ndetse n’uburyo bushya bw’ubucuruzi ku isi.
Ibikoresho bya Senghorkandi izita cyane cyane kuri politiki yubuyobozi bwa Trump kugirango ihindure byihuse ibisubizo byo kohereza abakiriya kugirango basubize impinduka zishoboka ku isoko.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ugushyingo-13-2024
